C6
Designed by GPT-5.6-Terra. Faithful ATWL translation of the model's own C4 prose design (continuing that chat); instructed not to fabricate structure. ↓ download raw .atwl
Workflow header & template
workflow vastopolis-outbreak-origin-and-transmission
template: define-unit → loop(build-model → characterise → visualise →
abstract → assess → build-model) → define-unit →
characterise → contextualise → visualise → assess →
define-unit → characterise → contextualise → visualise →
abstract → generate-knowledge → generate-knowledge →
characterise → build-model →
loop(characterise → contextualise → visualise → abstract →
assess → build-model) →
visualise → generate-knowledge → characterise → visualise →
generate-knowledge
description: "Visual analytics workflow for identifying likely outbreak-origin
areas, comparing possible transmission mechanisms, and prioritising public
health deployment using geolocated microblog reports, geographic context,
population statistics, and weather observations."
Input Data And Initial Specifications
artifact D_posts : entities
origin: given
internal structure: elementary
embedment: {space, time}
features:
- id: timestamp
value structure: atomic
value type: temporal
description: "Posting time"
- id: gps_location
value structure: atomic
value type: spatial
description: "GPS coordinate recorded by the mobile device"
- id: text
value structure: atomic
value type: text
description: "Microblog message text"
- id: account_id
value structure: atomic
value type: reference
description: "Pseudonymous account identifier, used only for duplicate
and probable-bot detection"
description: "Geolocated microblog messages collected during several days
of the suspected outbreak"
artifact D_city_features : entities
origin: given
internal structure: elementary
embedment: space
features:
- id: feature_type
value structure: atomic
value type: categorical
description: "Highway, hospital, landmark, water body, or other map feature"
- id: geometry
value structure: atomic
value type: spatial
description: "Geographic geometry"
- id: name
value structure: atomic
value type: text
description: "Map feature name, where available"
description: "Metropolitan geographic context including highways, hospitals,
landmarks, and water bodies"
artifact D_zones : entities
origin: given
internal structure: region
embedment: space
features:
- id: population
value structure: atomic
value type: numeric
description: "Resident population of the city zone"
- id: zone_name
value structure: atomic
value type: text
description: "Zone identifier or name"
description: "Thirteen city zones with population statistics"
artifact D_weather : entities
origin: given
internal structure: elementary
embedment: time
features:
- id: wind_speed
value structure: atomic
value type: numeric
description: "Observed wind speed"
- id: wind_direction
value structure: atomic
value type: numeric
description: "Observed wind direction"
description: "Daily weather observations for Vastopolis"
artifact K_epidemiology : knowledge(D_posts, D_city_features, D_weather)
origin: given
representation form: "domain assumptions and interpretation guidance"
description: "Public-health knowledge concerning flu-like symptoms,
plausible reporting biases, plausible transmission mechanisms, expected
temporal lags, and limitations of social-media data as a proxy for cases"
artifact S_cleaning : specification
origin: given
representation form: "filtering rules and uncertainty criteria"
description: "Rules for duplicate removal, bot detection, timestamp and
coordinate validation, and retention of uncertainty flags"
artifact S_content_initial : specification
origin: given
representation form: "initial text-classification configuration"
description: "Initial symptom vocabulary, topic-model settings, content
categories, confidence thresholds, and rules for identifying probable
self-reported illness"
artifact S_spatiotemporal_units : specification
origin: given
representation form: "spatiotemporal aggregation settings"
description: "Zone, fine-grid, and adaptive-cell resolutions; one-, three-,
and six-hour temporal bins; population normalization; and low-volume
uncertainty rules"
artifact S_origin_detection : specification
origin: given
representation form: "cluster and origin-ranking criteria"
description: "Space-time clustering settings, persistence requirement,
independent-account requirement where possible, onset definition, and
sensitivity-analysis settings"
artifact S_model_initial : specification
origin: given
representation form: "candidate-model configuration"
description: "Initial lag ranges, candidate source locations, covariates,
comparison criteria, and transparent count/rate regression forms for
contact-propagation, airborne, water-exposure, point-source, and mixed
hypotheses"
assign:
S_content_current := S_content_initial
S_model_current := S_model_initial
Step 1: Clean Posts And Iteratively Refine Content Classification
transform T_clean_posts :
intent: define-unit
manner: "filter and quality-control"
input: D_posts, S_cleaning
output: D_clean_posts
actor: machine
description: "Remove duplicate posts, obvious automated activity, and posts
with invalid timestamps or coordinates while retaining quality and
uncertainty indicators"
artifact D_clean_posts : entities
internal structure: elementary
embedment: {space, time}
features:
- id: text
value structure: atomic
value type: text
description: "Post text"
- id: location
value structure: atomic
value type: spatial
description: "Validated GPS coordinate"
- id: timestamp
value structure: atomic
value type: temporal
description: "Validated posting time"
- id: data_quality_flag
value structure: atomic
value type: categorical
description: "Reliability and uncertainty flag"
description: "Quality-controlled microblog posts"
transform T_train_initial_content_model :
intent: build-model
manner: "train text classifier and topic model"
input: D_clean_posts, S_content_current, K_epidemiology
output: M_content_model_initial
actor: hybrid
description: "Construct an initial content model using rules, topic
modelling, and public-health terminology to distinguish symptom reports
from news, concern, misinformation, and unrelated posts"
artifact M_content_model_initial : model(D_clean_posts, K_epidemiology)
model type: "text classifier and topic model"
representation form: "keyword rules plus topic-model parameters"
description: "Initial model for classifying illness-related microblog posts"
assign:
M_content_model := M_content_model_initial
loop L_content_refinement:
purpose: "Refine illness-report classification until categories and
confidence judgements are adequate for outbreak analysis"
until: "Public-health analysts judge that sampled classifications, topic
interpretations, and uncertainty flags are sufficiently credible"
body:
transform T_classify_posts :
intent: characterise
manner: "classify text content"
input: D_clean_posts, M_content_model, S_content_current
output: F_content_class
actor: machine
description: "Assign content categories and confidence values, including
self-reported symptoms, reports about others, severe illness or death,
healthcare seeking, news or concern, and unrelated content"
artifact F_content_class : feature(D_clean_posts)
value structure: vector
value type: {categorical, numeric}
representation form: "content category and confidence per post"
description: "Probabilistic content labels for cleaned posts"
transform T_visualise_content_review :
intent: visualise
manner: "linked text-map-time review"
input: D_clean_posts, F_content_class
output: V_content_review
actor: machine
description: "Display sampled original posts, topic/category summaries,
message locations, and posting times for analyst inspection"
artifact V_content_review : visualisation(D_clean_posts, F_content_class)
layout: "linked document list, topic summary, map, and timeline"
form: "text excerpts, coloured points, bars, and time series"
encoding: "colour represents content category; map position represents
GPS location; timeline position represents posting time; text panel
exposes original messages"
description: "Evidence view for reviewing text-classification results"
transform T_interpret_content :
intent: abstract
manner: "perception-and-interpretation"
input: V_content_review, F_content_class, K_epidemiology
output: P_content_interpretation
actor: human
description: "Identify misleading terms, sarcasm, news reposting,
non-flu conditions, category ambiguities, and meaningful illness-
related themes"
artifact P_content_interpretation : pattern(D_clean_posts, F_content_class)
representation form: "annotated topic and classification issues"
description: "Observed semantic patterns and classification problems in
microblog content"
transform T_assess_content :
intent: assess
manner: "assess text-classification adequacy"
input: V_content_review, P_content_interpretation, F_content_class
output: K_content_quality, S_content_refined
actor: human
description: "Judge whether content categories and confidence thresholds
are adequate for use as illness indicators; formulate revised settings
when they are not"
artifact K_content_quality : knowledge(F_content_class, V_content_review)
representation form: "quality judgment"
description: "Analyst judgment about credibility, ambiguity, and
suitability of classified posts for outbreak analysis"
artifact S_content_refined : specification
representation form: "revised text-classification configuration"
description: "Updated symptom terms, topic interpretation, category
definitions, thresholds, and exclusion rules"
if K_content_quality indicates classification refinement needed:
then:
transform T_refine_content_model :
intent: build-model
manner: "retrain with analyst-guided vocabulary and topic changes"
input: D_clean_posts, M_content_model, S_content_refined,
P_content_interpretation
output: M_content_model_refined
actor: hybrid
description: "Retrain or adjust the content model using analyst-
identified semantic issues and revised classification settings"
artifact M_content_model_refined : model(D_clean_posts,
P_content_interpretation)
model type: "refined text classifier and topic model"
representation form: "updated keyword rules and topic-model parameters"
description: "Revised model for identifying credible illness reports"
assign:
M_content_model := M_content_model_refined
S_content_current := S_content_refined
else:
exit loop L_content_refinement
end loop L_content_refinement
transform T_extract_place_mentions :
intent: characterise
manner: "named-entity and place-reference extraction"
input: D_clean_posts, F_content_class, D_city_features
output: F_place_mentions
actor: hybrid
description: "Extract and contextually validate references to landmarks,
hospitals, events, workplaces, water locations, and travel locations"
artifact F_place_mentions : feature(D_clean_posts)
value structure: list
value type: reference
representation form: "linked map-feature references and unresolved place names"
description: "Place and facility references found in microblog text"
Step 2: Construct And Validate Spatiotemporal Outbreak Signals
transform T_select_health_reports :
intent: define-unit
manner: "filter by classified health-report category"
input: D_clean_posts, F_content_class, K_content_quality
output: D_symptom_reports, D_severe_reports
actor: machine
description: "Select high-confidence symptom reports and separately retain
severe-illness or death-associated reports"
artifact D_symptom_reports : entities
internal structure: elementary
embedment: {space, time}
features:
- id: symptom_confidence
value structure: atomic
value type: numeric
description: "Confidence that the post reports flu-like illness"
- id: report_type
value structure: atomic
value type: categorical
description: "Self-report or report about another person"
description: "High-confidence flu-like symptom-report posts"
artifact D_severe_reports : entities
internal structure: elementary
embedment: {space, time}
features:
- id: severity_type
value structure: atomic
value type: categorical
description: "Severe illness, death, or hospital-related report category"
description: "Posts associated with severe illness, deaths, or healthcare seeking"
transform T_construct_signal_units :
intent: define-unit
manner: "spatiotemporal aggregation"
input: D_symptom_reports, D_severe_reports, D_zones, S_spatiotemporal_units
output: D_analysis_areas, D_signal_units
actor: machine
description: "Create city-zone, fine-grid, or adaptive spatial units and
time-binned units for comparing outbreak signals across resolutions"
artifact D_analysis_areas : entities
internal structure: region
embedment: space
features:
- id: area_type
value structure: atomic
value type: categorical
description: "Zone, grid cell, or adaptive area"
- id: population
value structure: atomic
value type: numeric
description: "Population estimate for the analysis area"
description: "Spatial analysis areas at multiple resolutions"
artifact D_signal_units : entities
internal structure: group/cluster
embedment: {space, time}
features:
- id: temporal_bin
value structure: atomic
value type: temporal
description: "Time interval represented by the unit"
- id: spatial_area
value structure: atomic
value type: reference
description: "Associated analysis area"
description: "Aggregated symptom and severe-report observations by area and time"
transform T_compute_outbreak_indicators :
intent: characterise
manner: "aggregate and normalise"
input: D_signal_units, D_clean_posts, D_analysis_areas
output: F_outbreak_indicators
actor: machine
description: "Compute symptom counts, population-normalised rates, symptom
share of local posting volume, severe-report counts, growth measures, and
uncertainty indicators"
artifact F_outbreak_indicators : feature(D_signal_units)
value structure: vector
value type: numeric
representation form: "time-binned outbreak indicator vector"
description: "Counts, rates, posting-volume-adjusted measures, severe-report
signals, growth estimates, and uncertainty values"
transform T_arrange_signals_on_map :
intent: contextualise
manner: "map-based"
input: D_signal_units, D_analysis_areas
output: A_signal_map
actor: machine
description: "Arrange aggregated signal units in their corresponding
geographic analysis areas"
artifact A_signal_map : arrangement(D_signal_units)
context: D_analysis_areas
principle: "spatial-area membership"
description: "Map arrangement of outbreak signal units"
transform T_visualise_outbreak_signals :
intent: visualise
manner: "coordinated map and temporal views"
input: A_signal_map, F_outbreak_indicators, D_city_features, D_severe_reports
output: V_signal_overview
actor: machine
description: "Show animated maps, area time series, temporal heatmaps,
severe-report signals, and uncertainty indicators"
artifact V_signal_overview : visualisation(A_signal_map, F_outbreak_indicators,
D_city_features, D_severe_reports)
layout: "linked map, space-time heatmap, and zone time-series views"
form: "coloured areas, points, lines, and uncertainty bands"
encoding: "map position from arrangement; colour and height from symptom
rate; point overlays from severe reports; bands represent uncertainty"
description: "Visual overview for checking whether apparent peaks are
credible illness signals rather than posting or media artifacts"
transform T_assess_signal_validity :
intent: assess
manner: "judge social-media signal credibility"
input: V_signal_overview, D_symptom_reports, D_severe_reports,
K_content_quality, K_epidemiology
output: K_signal_validity
actor: human
description: "Inspect supporting posts and assess whether observed peaks
plausibly reflect illness reporting rather than news amplification,
hospital-reporting effects, or a viral-post cascade"
artifact K_signal_validity : knowledge(V_signal_overview, D_symptom_reports)
representation form: "quality judgment and caveats"
description: "Analyst assessment of credible, uncertain, and likely
artifact-driven outbreak signals"
Step 3: Detect Persistent Early Clusters And Rank Origin Candidates
transform T_cluster_outbreak_events :
intent: define-unit
manner: "space-time density clustering"
input: D_symptom_reports, F_outbreak_indicators, S_origin_detection
output: D_outbreak_clusters, F_cluster_membership
actor: machine
description: "Identify persistent space-time concentrations of independent
symptom reports and distinguish them from isolated bursts"
artifact D_outbreak_clusters : entities
internal structure: group/cluster
embedment: {space, time}
features:
- id: cluster_extent
value structure: vector
value type: {spatial, temporal}
description: "Spatial and temporal extent of the cluster"
description: "Persistent candidate outbreak clusters"
artifact F_cluster_membership : feature(D_symptom_reports)
value structure: atomic
value type: reference
description: "Outbreak-cluster identifier for each symptom report"
transform T_characterise_clusters :
intent: characterise
manner: "compute onset, persistence, and robustness descriptors"
input: D_outbreak_clusters, D_signal_units, F_outbreak_indicators,
D_analysis_areas, S_origin_detection
output: F_cluster_descriptors
actor: machine
description: "Compute sustained onset time, intensity, persistence,
population-normalised severity, subsequent expansion, and sensitivity to
classification thresholds and spatial-temporal resolutions"
artifact F_cluster_descriptors : feature(D_outbreak_clusters)
value structure: vector
value type: {numeric, temporal}
representation form: "origin-evidence descriptor vector"
description: "Features used to compare candidate origin areas"
transform T_arrange_clusters_on_map :
intent: contextualise
manner: "map-based"
input: D_outbreak_clusters, D_analysis_areas
output: A_cluster_map
actor: machine
description: "Place outbreak clusters on the geographic analysis map"
artifact A_cluster_map : arrangement(D_outbreak_clusters)
context: D_analysis_areas
principle: "cluster centroid and spatial extent"
description: "Geographic arrangement of outbreak clusters"
transform T_visualise_onset_and_expansion :
intent: visualise
manner: "animated onset and expansion map"
input: A_cluster_map, F_cluster_descriptors, D_city_features,
F_outbreak_indicators
output: V_origin_evidence
actor: machine
description: "Show onset times, expansion contours, candidate clusters,
nearby hospitals, landmarks, highways, and water bodies"
artifact V_origin_evidence : visualisation(A_cluster_map, F_cluster_descriptors,
D_city_features, F_outbreak_indicators)
layout: "time-enabled geographic map with linked cluster ranking"
form: "coloured cluster regions, contours, points, and ranked bars"
encoding: "colour represents onset time; size represents intensity;
contours represent later expansion; map overlays show city features"
description: "Evidence view for identifying early sustained outbreak areas"
transform T_interpret_origin_patterns :
intent: abstract
manner: "rank persistent early clusters"
input: V_origin_evidence, F_cluster_descriptors, K_signal_validity
output: P_origin_candidates
actor: hybrid
description: "Rank candidate origin areas by early sustained onset,
persistence, intensity, downstream temporal ordering, and robustness,
while retaining the distinction between reporting origin and infection origin"
artifact P_origin_candidates : pattern(D_outbreak_clusters,
F_cluster_descriptors)
representation form: "ranked candidate-origin patterns"
description: "Persistent early outbreak clusters and their observed
expansion relationships"
transform T_formulate_origin_assessment :
intent: generate-knowledge
manner: "formulate-statements"
input: P_origin_candidates, V_origin_evidence, K_signal_validity,
K_epidemiology
output: K_origin_assessment
actor: human
description: "Formulate a ranked, uncertainty-aware assessment of candidate
source areas, including supporting evidence, contradictory evidence, and
reporting-bias caveats"
artifact K_origin_assessment : knowledge(P_origin_candidates,
V_origin_evidence)
representation form: "ranked evidence statements"
description: "Candidate outbreak-origin areas with confidence, supporting
observations, contradictions, and caveats"
Step 4: Formulate Competing Transmission Hypotheses And Predictors
transform T_formulate_hypotheses :
intent: generate-knowledge
manner: "formulate-statements and modelling strategy"
input: K_origin_assessment, K_epidemiology, D_city_features, D_weather
output: K_transmission_hypotheses, S_hypothesis_models
actor: human
description: "Define testable person-to-person, airborne, waterborne,
common-point-source, reporting-artifact, and mixed-mechanism hypotheses,
with expected observable patterns and comparison requirements"
artifact K_transmission_hypotheses : knowledge(K_origin_assessment,
D_city_features, D_weather)
representation form: "competing explanatory hypotheses"
description: "Explicit statements of expected spatial and temporal patterns
for alternative transmission mechanisms"
artifact S_hypothesis_models : specification
representation form: "model structure and comparison constraints"
description: "Hypothesis-specific predictors, lags, candidate-source
handling, validation periods, matched-area comparisons, and complexity
constraints"
transform T_compute_exposure_predictors :
intent: characterise
manner: "derive spatiotemporal explanatory features"
input: D_signal_units, F_outbreak_indicators, D_analysis_areas,
D_city_features, D_weather, K_origin_assessment,
S_hypothesis_models
output: F_exposure_predictors
actor: machine
description: "Compute prior local rates, adjacent-zone and highway-connected
rates, source distance, downwind alignment, wind speed, water proximity,
reporting volume, hospital proximity, and population-related predictors"
artifact F_exposure_predictors : feature(D_signal_units)
value structure: vector
value type: numeric
representation form: "lagged spatial-exposure predictor vector"
description: "Predictors for contrasting transmission mechanisms"
transform T_build_initial_models :
intent: build-model
manner: "fit alternative transparent spatiotemporal regressions"
input: D_signal_units, F_outbreak_indicators, F_exposure_predictors,
K_transmission_hypotheses, S_model_current
output: M_contact_initial, M_airborne_initial, M_water_initial,
M_point_source_initial, M_mixed_initial
actor: machine
description: "Fit initial explanatory models for contact propagation,
airborne spread, water exposure, common point source, and mixed mechanisms"
artifact M_contact_initial : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "spatiotemporal count or rate regression model"
representation form: "lagged local, adjacent-zone, and highway-connectivity terms"
description: "Model of person-to-person or mobility-mediated propagation"
artifact M_airborne_initial : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "spatiotemporal count or rate regression model"
representation form: "source-distance, downwind-alignment, wind-speed, and lag terms"
description: "Model of airborne or aerosol-mediated spread"
artifact M_water_initial : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "spatiotemporal count or rate regression model"
representation form: "water-proximity or service-area exposure terms"
description: "Model of water-related exposure"
artifact M_point_source_initial : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "spatiotemporal count or rate regression model"
representation form: "candidate-event or candidate-location exposure terms"
description: "Model of common-event or local point-source exposure"
artifact M_mixed_initial : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "spatiotemporal count or rate regression model"
representation form: "penalised combination of mechanism-specific predictors"
description: "Model allowing more than one transmission mechanism"
assign:
M_contact := M_contact_initial
M_airborne := M_airborne_initial
M_water := M_water_initial
M_point_source := M_point_source_initial
M_mixed := M_mixed_initial
Step 5: Residual-Driven Hypothesis Comparison And Model Refinement
loop L_hypothesis_refinement:
purpose: "Compare competing transmission explanations and refine models only
when visual residual evidence identifies a meaningful missing factor"
until: "Model performance, residual patterns, validation results, and
epidemiological interpretability are adequate for operational comparison"
body:
transform T_apply_hypothesis_models :
intent: characterise
manner: "predict and compute residuals"
input: D_signal_units, F_outbreak_indicators, F_exposure_predictors,
M_contact, M_airborne, M_water, M_point_source, M_mixed
output: F_model_outputs
actor: machine
description: "Generate model-specific predicted rates, residuals,
uncertainty estimates, fit statistics, and held-out location/time
validation measures"
artifact F_model_outputs : feature(D_signal_units)
value structure: vector
value type: numeric
representation form: "observed, predicted, residual, and validation values per model"
description: "Comparative outputs of the candidate transmission models"
transform T_arrange_model_outputs :
intent: contextualise
manner: "map-based"
input: D_signal_units, D_analysis_areas
output: A_model_map
actor: machine
description: "Arrange model predictions and residuals by analysis area"
artifact A_model_map : arrangement(D_signal_units)
context: D_analysis_areas
principle: "spatial-area membership"
description: "Geographic arrangement for model diagnostics"
transform T_visualise_model_diagnostics :
intent: visualise
manner: "comparative residual and validation display"
input: A_model_map, F_model_outputs, D_weather, D_city_features,
K_transmission_hypotheses
output: V_model_diagnostics
actor: machine
description: "Display observed-versus-predicted rates, residual maps,
uncertainty intervals, model comparisons, lag plots, wind vectors,
and downwind/upwind contrasts"
artifact V_model_diagnostics : visualisation(A_model_map, F_model_outputs,
D_weather, D_city_features)
layout: "linked maps, time series, observed-predicted plots, residual
panels, and model-comparison charts"
form: "coloured areas, lines, arrows, scatterplots, and uncertainty bands"
encoding: "map colour represents residual or predicted rate; wind arrows
represent direction and speed; line plots show lagged changes;
panels compare alternative models"
description: "Visual diagnostic environment for evaluating competing
transmission explanations"
transform T_interpret_residual_patterns :
intent: abstract
manner: "perception-and-interpretation"
input: V_model_diagnostics, F_model_outputs, K_transmission_hypotheses
output: P_model_residual_patterns
actor: human
description: "Identify coherent unexplained residual hotspots, stable
lagged wind effects, spatial propagation waves, water-aligned
concentrations, or model-specific failure patterns"
artifact P_model_residual_patterns : pattern(F_model_outputs,
V_model_diagnostics)
representation form: "annotated residual and cross-impact patterns"
description: "Observed explanatory successes, failures, and possible
missing factors in the transmission models"
transform T_assess_hypothesis_models :
intent: assess
manner: "assess model adequacy and comparative support"
input: V_model_diagnostics, P_model_residual_patterns,
K_transmission_hypotheses, S_model_current
output: K_model_assessment, S_model_refined
actor: human
description: "Assess predictive performance, residual structure,
robustness across wind changes and resolutions, plausibility, and
whether model refinement is justified"
artifact K_model_assessment : knowledge(F_model_outputs,
P_model_residual_patterns)
representation form: "comparative quality judgment"
description: "Assessment of each transmission model's adequacy,
limitations, residual anomalies, and relative operational support"
artifact S_model_refined : specification
representation form: "revised model configuration"
description: "Revised predictors, lag choices, interaction terms,
thresholds, validation settings, or feature exclusions justified by
residual analysis"
if K_model_assessment indicates refinement needed:
then:
transform T_refine_hypothesis_models :
intent: build-model
manner: "residual-driven regression refinement"
input: D_signal_units, F_outbreak_indicators, F_exposure_predictors,
P_model_residual_patterns, S_model_refined,
M_contact, M_airborne, M_water, M_point_source, M_mixed
output: M_contact_refined, M_airborne_refined, M_water_refined,
M_point_source_refined, M_mixed_refined
actor: hybrid
description: "Refit candidate models after adding, removing, or
reconfiguring factors only where diagnostic evidence supports it"
artifact M_contact_refined : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "refined spatiotemporal regression model"
description: "Refined contact-propagation explanation"
artifact M_airborne_refined : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "refined spatiotemporal regression model"
description: "Refined airborne-spread explanation"
artifact M_water_refined : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "refined spatiotemporal regression model"
description: "Refined water-exposure explanation"
artifact M_point_source_refined : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "refined spatiotemporal regression model"
description: "Refined common-point-source explanation"
artifact M_mixed_refined : model(F_outbreak_indicators,
F_exposure_predictors)
model type: "refined spatiotemporal regression model"
description: "Refined mixed-mechanism explanation"
assign:
M_contact := M_contact_refined
M_airborne := M_airborne_refined
M_water := M_water_refined
M_point_source := M_point_source_refined
M_mixed := M_mixed_refined
S_model_current := S_model_refined
else:
exit loop L_hypothesis_refinement
end loop L_hypothesis_refinement
Step 6: Investigate Candidate Sources And Synthesise Evidence
transform T_visualise_source_evidence :
intent: visualise
manner: "linked evidence investigation"
input: D_symptom_reports, D_severe_reports, F_place_mentions,
P_origin_candidates, F_model_outputs, D_city_features,
V_model_diagnostics
output: V_source_investigation
actor: machine
description: "Support inspection of candidate-source messages in temporal
order, linked landmarks and facilities, backward tracing from later
hotspots, matched comparison areas, and conflicting evidence"
artifact V_source_investigation : visualisation(D_symptom_reports,
D_severe_reports, F_place_mentions, P_origin_candidates,
F_model_outputs, D_city_features)
layout: "linked map, message timeline, candidate-source panel, and
comparison-area views"
form: "points, trajectories, text excerpts, ranked lists, and maps"
encoding: "message positions derive from GPS coordinates; temporal order
derives from timestamps; overlays show candidate origins, facilities,
water bodies, highways, and model-supported exposure relationships"
description: "Detailed evidence view for field investigation of possible
source locations and exposure mechanisms"
transform T_investigate_candidate_sources :
intent: generate-knowledge
manner: "formulate evidence statements"
input: V_source_investigation, K_origin_assessment, K_model_assessment,
K_transmission_hypotheses, K_epidemiology
output: K_source_investigation
actor: human
description: "Record source-specific supporting and contradictory evidence,
compare matched non-outbreak areas, distinguish infection-source evidence
from care-seeking/reporting effects, and identify field-investigation needs"
artifact K_source_investigation : knowledge(V_source_investigation,
K_origin_assessment, K_model_assessment)
representation form: "candidate-source evidence log"
description: "Documented interpretation of likely sources, possible
mechanisms, uncertainties, contradictions, and recommended validation
actions"
transform T_synthesise_transmission_assessment :
intent: generate-knowledge
manner: "formulate-statements"
input: K_origin_assessment, K_model_assessment, K_source_investigation,
K_transmission_hypotheses, K_signal_validity
output: K_transmission_assessment
actor: human
description: "Synthesize the relative support for person-to-person,
airborne, waterborne, point-source, reporting-artifact, and mixed
explanations without claiming definitive causation from microblog data"
artifact K_transmission_assessment : knowledge(K_origin_assessment,
K_model_assessment, K_source_investigation)
representation form: "uncertainty-aware explanatory assessment"
description: "Ranked transmission hypotheses, supporting and contradictory
evidence, uncertainty, and requirements for clinical or environmental
confirmation"
Step 7: Prioritise Deployment And Communicate Results
transform T_compute_resource_priority :
intent: characterise
manner: "risk and deployment prioritisation"
input: D_signal_units, F_outbreak_indicators, F_model_outputs,
D_analysis_areas, K_transmission_assessment
output: F_resource_priority
actor: machine
description: "Compute area priority from current intensity, growth rate,
severe-report signal, population exposure, hospital context, model support,
and uncertainty"
artifact F_resource_priority : feature(D_analysis_areas)
value structure: vector
value type: {numeric, ordinal}
representation form: "priority score with explanatory components"
description: "Emergency-management priority and contributing risk factors
for each analysis area"
transform T_visualise_operational_dashboard :
intent: visualise
manner: "linked emergency-management dashboard"
input: A_signal_map, F_outbreak_indicators, P_origin_candidates,
K_transmission_assessment, F_resource_priority, D_city_features
output: V_operational_dashboard
actor: machine
description: "Provide current risk, origin candidates, transmission evidence,
uncertainty, and resource-priority views in one linked dashboard"
artifact V_operational_dashboard : visualisation(A_signal_map,
F_outbreak_indicators, P_origin_candidates, K_transmission_assessment,
F_resource_priority, D_city_features)
layout: "linked current-risk map, origin-ranking panel, transmission-evidence
panel, and resource-priority map"
form: "coloured areas, ranked lists, time series, symbols, and uncertainty bands"
encoding: "area colour and size encode current risk and priority; panels
show ranked origin candidates and relative hypothesis support; symbols
identify hospitals, highways, landmarks, and water bodies"
description: "Operational dashboard for public-health and emergency managers"
transform T_formulate_deployment_recommendations :
intent: generate-knowledge
manner: "derive-rules and write-summary"
input: V_operational_dashboard, K_transmission_assessment,
K_source_investigation, K_epidemiology
output: K_deployment_recommendations, K_update_protocol
actor: human
description: "Recommend immediate resource deployment, targeted field
investigations, clinical and environmental validation, public communication,
and documented re-analysis as new posts and weather observations arrive"
artifact K_deployment_recommendations : knowledge(V_operational_dashboard,
K_transmission_assessment)
representation form: "prioritised recommendations"
description: "Recommended deployment of testing, clinical outreach,
communications, environmental inspection, and emergency resources, with
uncertainty-aware rationale"
artifact K_update_protocol : knowledge(V_operational_dashboard,
K_deployment_recommendations)
representation form: "operational update protocol"
description: "Instructions to preserve the analysis log and rerun the
workflow when new microblogs, weather data, clinical surveillance, or
environmental evidence become available"